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CBN’s Forex intervention responsible for GDP’s growth – World Bank

thescript by thescript
November 23, 2017
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Nigeria’s GDP rises, as NBS records 1.40 percent GDP growth in Q3 2017
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The World Bank has said that Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which expanded by 1.4 per cent in the third quarter of 2017 (year-on-year); and the second quarter growth after the recession of 2016, reflects recovery in oil production, good performance in agriculture, and stronger non-oil industry growth due to the easing of Foreign Exchange (Forex) constraints.

The CBN has spent over $13 billion in its continuous effort to ease the pressure in the forex market and stabilize the naira. The World Bank, in its Nigeria Economic Update, released on Wednesday, noted that many fiscal challenges remain at different levels of government, and effort is needed to successfully address those challenges.

According to the bank, the new Nigeria Bi-Annual Economic Update has a special focus on the analysis of fiscal performance of Nigerian states.

It also observed that with the shortfall in revenue, fiscal pressure persists at sub- national government levels, putting a strain on service delivery.

The special focus shows that the fiscal deficit of states increased significantly from an estimated 0.2 percent of GDP in 2014, to 1 percent in 2015 and 2016.

Also, total state debt increased from 2.4 percent in 2014 to 4.0 percent of GDP by the end of 2016. The states’ fiscal crisis led to two sets of financial assistance packages by the Federal Government.

The second—the Budget Support Facility (hinged on a 22-point Fiscal Sustainability Plan)—was advanced in mid-2016 and due to close in mid-2017.

Ulrich Bartsch, World Bank Lead Economist for Nigeria said, “In light of the continuing fiscal pressures, there is a strong need to strengthen the performance of the states through the full and sustained implementation of reforms to increase internally-generated revenues and state spending efficiency, and to strengthen state debt management and fiscal transparency.”

While all states have made progress on the reform measures included in the 22-point Fiscal Sustainability Plan, implementation is incomplete, the Lead Economist stated.

The bank emphasized on the need to strengthen fiscal performance through sustaining the state fiscal reforms that have been accelerated in the past 2 years is of paramount importance.

The Daily Times recalls that the most recent World Bank 2018 ‘Doing Business’ report highlighted improvements in Nigeria’s investment climate, and its efforts to continue to diversify the government’s sources of revenue.

 

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