With no clear successor to longtime President Abdelaziz Bouteflika, Algerians may well see their frail leader who rarely appears in public cling on for a fifth term in office.
When Bouteflika came to power in 1999, he won the backing of his conflict-weary citizens who credited him with bringing about reconciliation after a fierce civil war.
Nearly two decades on and with a presidential election scheduled for next year, the 81-year-old leader shows little sign of leaving office despite his ailing health.
“As long as God keeps him alive, Bouteflika will definitely seek a fifth term,” said Mohamed Hennad, a political science professor at the University of Algiers.
There has been constant speculation about the health of the president — and even rumours of his death — who suffered a stroke in 2013 that saw him spend three months in a French hospital.
But Bouteflika surprised observers to win a fourth term in 2014, casting his vote from a wheelchair, and he is widely expected to appear on the 2019 ticket.
“All the external signs tend to show a very small group of very powerful people at the head of the Algerian state, in favour of the re-election of the current president,” said Pierre Vermeren, a contemporary history professor at the Pantheon Sorbonne University in Paris.
Possible successor sacked
One possible successor, national police chief Abdelghani Hamel, was last month ejected from the president’s inner circle.
The sacking of Hamel was intended to curb the official’s ambitions, according to a diplomat based in the capital Algiers.
“It’s the housekeeping before the election,” the foreign envoy said.
The move is similar to reshuffles within the powerful intelligence services just months ahead of the 2014 election, in which Bouteflika clinched 81.5 per cent of the vote despite being absent from the campaign trail.
